Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Warning to Sheep Graziers

for Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts

Issued at 11:22 AM EDT on Sunday 19 October 2025

Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and strong westerly winds are expected during Monday. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Midlands and East Coast forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Midlands and East Coast forecast districts has been cancelled.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EDT Sunday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, East Coast, Central Plateau, Midlands and parts of North East, North West Coast and Central North Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:46 am Sunday, 19 October 2025.

Damaging winds for much of Tasmania today and Monday.

Weather Situation
Vigorous northwesterly flow has developed over much of Tasmania ahead of a cold front expected to cross the state today. These winds will turn westerly in its wake and weaken for a period overnight, before strengthening again ahead of a second cold front expected to cross later on Monday. The strong westerly winds are expected to gradually weaken into Monday evening.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, North East, East Coast, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands
For ELEVATED TERRAIN and EXPOSED FAR SOUTHERN TASMANIA: DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS averaging 65 to 75 km/h with peak gusts around 115 km/h are likely today, shifting westerly and persisting through Monday.
For the REMAINDER including Hobart: DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS around 100 km/h are possible today, temporarily easing into the evening. DAMAGING WESTERLY WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are expected to redevelop around mid-morning on Monday.
Winds across the state are expected to ease below warning thresholds during Monday evening.
Locations which may be affected include St Helens, Swansea, Strahan, New Norfolk, Hobart, Oatlands, Bicheno, Orford, Bothwell, Geeveston, Dover and Campbell Town.
104 km/h wind gust was recorded at Hartz Mountains at 9:21 am.
154 km/h wind gust was recorded at Maatsuyker Island at 8:46 am.
139 km/h wind gust was recorded at Scotts Peak at 8:44 am.
117 km/h wind gust was recorded at Low Rocky Point at 7:10 am.
124 km/h wind gust was recorded at kunanyi at 7:02 am.
107 km/h wind gust was recorded at Tasman Island Airport at 4:02am.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Sunday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, East Coast, Central Plateau, Midlands and parts of North East, North West Coast and Central North Forecast Districts.

Issued at 10:46 am Sunday, 19 October 2025.

Damaging winds for much of Tasmania today and Monday.

Weather Situation
Vigorous northwesterly flow has developed over much of Tasmania ahead of a cold front expected to cross the state today. These winds will turn westerly in its wake and weaken for a period overnight, before strengthening again ahead of a second cold front expected to cross later on Monday. The strong westerly winds are expected to gradually weaken into Monday evening.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, North East, East Coast, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands
For ELEVATED TERRAIN and EXPOSED FAR SOUTHERN TASMANIA: DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS averaging 65 to 75 km/h with peak gusts around 115 km/h are likely today, shifting westerly and persisting through Monday.
For the REMAINDER including Hobart: DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS around 100 km/h are possible today, temporarily easing into the evening. DAMAGING WESTERLY WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are expected to redevelop around mid-morning on Monday.
Winds across the state are expected to ease below warning thresholds during Monday evening.
Locations which may be affected include St Helens, Swansea, Strahan, New Norfolk, Hobart, Oatlands, Bicheno, Orford, Bothwell, Geeveston, Dover and Campbell Town.
104 km/h wind gust was recorded at Hartz Mountains at 9:21 am.
154 km/h wind gust was recorded at Maatsuyker Island at 8:46 am.
139 km/h wind gust was recorded at Scotts Peak at 8:44 am.
117 km/h wind gust was recorded at Low Rocky Point at 7:10 am.
124 km/h wind gust was recorded at kunanyi at 7:02 am.
107 km/h wind gust was recorded at Tasman Island Airport at 4:02am.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEDT Sunday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania

Issued at 10:00 AM EDT on Sunday 19 October 2025
for the period until midnight EDT Monday 20 October 2025

Wind Warnings for Sunday 19 October
Gale Warning for the following areas:
East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast, South East Coast and South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Central Plateau Lakes, South West Lakes, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound and Central West Coast

Wind Warnings for Monday 20 October
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Lower East Coast, South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Central Plateau Lakes, South West Lakes, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast and Upper East Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 4:05 pm EDT Sunday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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