Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Warning to Sheep Graziers

for King Island, North West Coast, Central North, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts

Issued at 04:53 PM EDT on Tuesday 21 October 2025

Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
King Island, North West Coast, Central North, Midlands, East Coast, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, heavy rain, showers and southwesterly winds are expected during Wednesday. Areas likely to be affected include the North West Coast, Midlands and East Coast forecast districts and parts of the King Island, Central North, Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EDT Tuesday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Initial Minor Flood Warning For The South Esk River
Issued at 04:48 PM AEDT on Tuesday 21 October 2025
Flood Warning Number: 1

MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT FINGAL, LEWIS HILL AND LLEWELLYN FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING WITH FORECAST RAINFALL
Moderate to locally heavy rainfall is forecast across the South Esk catchment from Wednesday into Thursday. The catchment is wet following recent rainfall. River level rises are expected, and minor flooding is possible along the South Esk River at Fingal and Llewellyn, and along the St Pauls River at Lewis Hill from Wednesday evening
The situation is being closely monitored, and this warning will be updated as required.

St Pauls River:
Minor flooding is possible along the St Pauls Rivers.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill is currently at 0.32 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The St Pauls River at Lewis Hill may exceed the minor flood level (1.70 m) Wednesday afternoon. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

South Esk River - Fingal to Llewellyn:
Minor flooding is possible along the South Esk River.
The South Esk River at Fingal is currently at 2.10 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Fingal may exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Wednesday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

The South Esk River at Llewellyn is currently at 1.63 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The South Esk River at Llewellyn may exceed the minor flood level (4.00 m) Wednesday evening. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 AM AEDT on Wednesday 22 October 2025.

Latest River Heights:
Break O'Day River at Killymoon,0.35,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Upper Esk Road Bridge,0.74,steady,2:45 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Mathinna,0.41,steady,4:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Fingal,2.10,steady,4:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
St Pauls River at Lewis Hill,0.32,steady,4:26 pm Tue 21/10/25
St Pauls River at Above Avoca,0.53,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Llewellyn,1.63,steady,4:15 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Perth,1.83,steady,3:00 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Longford,0.40,steady,4:09 pm Tue 21/10/25
South Esk River at Trevallyn Pond,126.30,steady,4:15 pm Tue 21/10/25

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania

Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Tuesday 21 October 2025
for the period until midnight EDT Wednesday 22 October 2025

Wind Warnings for Tuesday 21 October
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and South East Coast

Wind Warnings for Wednesday 22 October
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast and South East Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, South West Coast and Central West Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 10:00 pm EDT Tuesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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