Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
Warning to Sheep Graziers
for Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Issued at 11:03 PM EDT on Sunday 16 November 2025
Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, showers and westerly winds are expected during Monday. Areas likely to be affected include parts of the Upper Derwent Valley and South East forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Furneaux Islands, North West Coast and Midlands forecast districts
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Furneaux Islands, North West Coast and Midlands forecast districts has been cancelled.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EDT Monday.
Forecast
Surges Bay (43.2181°S, 146.9897°E, 10m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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Seven day forecast
Today: Cloudy. High chance of showers in the S, medium chance elsewhere. Snow falling above 500 metres. Possible small hail in the morning and afternoon. Winds W 25 to 35 km/h turning NW in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 2 and 7 with daytime temperatures reaching between 8 and 14.
Forecast for Surges Bay (43.2181°S, 146.9897°E, 10m AMSL) Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Summary 
Minimum 5° 8° 6° 5° 4° 5° 7° Maximum 13° 14° 14° 15° 16° 18° 17° Chance of rain 90% 90% 80% 70% 30% 30% 60% Likely amount 1-5mm 5-10mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm 1-5mm UV index High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Nil Nil Slight Slight Slight Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 19
(km/h)23
(km/h)20
(km/h)23
(km/h)24
(km/h)24
(km/h)16
(km/h)19
(km/h)10
(km/h)10
(km/h)2
(km/h)12
(km/h)6
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction W W WNW WNW NW WNW W W WNW W NNW SE E E Relative humidity 76% 57% 83% 76% 68% 66% 69% 51% 60% 50% 65% 60% 79% 72% Dew point 4°C 4°C 9°C 10°C 6°C 7°C 5°C 5°C 4°C 6°C 7°C 10°C 10°C 12°C -
Warnings
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Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Surges Bay (43.2181°S, 146.9897°E, 10m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase New moon First quarter Full moon Last quarter 5:05am EDT 5:38am EDT 8:17pm EDT 8:50pm EDT 3:51am EDT 5:28pm EDT 
Waning crescent
New moon Nov 20 First quarter Nov 28 Full moon Dec 05 Last quarter Dec 12 -
Temperature for next 5 days
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Rain for next 5 days
