Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall
for East Coast, Midlands and parts of North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast Forecast Districts.
Issued at 7:10 pm Wednesday, 21 January 2026.
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS with heavy, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon and early evening.
Weather Situation
The passage of a cold front combines with an upper-level trough and high atmospheric moisture to generate severe thunderstorms with heavy to locally intense rainfall over parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
South East, North East, East Coast, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next couple of hours in the Northern Midlands and the Conara Junction. Locations which may be affected include Campbell Town.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in the East Coast, Midlands and parts of the North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast districts. Locations which may be affected include Swansea, Oatlands, Bicheno, Orford, Campbell Town and Fingal.
37.2 MM OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED AT LLEWELLYN IN THE 1 HOUR AND 45 MINUTES TO 5:45 PM.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 10:10 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Piersons Point (42.9937°S, 147.2392°E, 92m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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Seven day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the morning. Snow possible above 1200 metres. Winds SW 25 to 40 km/h. Overnight temperatures falling to between 6 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 13 and 18.
Forecast for Piersons Point (42.9937°S, 147.2392°E, 92m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary
Minimum 6° 5° 7° 11° 6° 11° 13° Maximum 14° 17° 27° 18° 22° 24° 17° Chance of rain 40% 5% 5% 5% 10% 90% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme Very High Fire Danger Rating High Moderate High Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 14
(km/h)17
(km/h)2
(km/h)11
(km/h)9
(km/h)10
(km/h)9
(km/h)13
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)3
(km/h)4
(km/h)8
(km/h)13
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW ENE ESE NNE N SSW S NE E N SSE WSW SW Relative humidity 70% 41% 62% 45% 65% 30% 71% 49% 64% 41% 61% 50% 77% 57% Dew point 4°C 1°C 4°C 5°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 7°C 7°C 9°C 12°C 13°C 12°C 9°C -
Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy, Locally Intense Rain) East Coast, Midlands & North East, Central North, C Plateau, South East & NW Coast
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy, Locally Intense Rain) East Coast, Midlands & North East, Central North, C Plateau, South East & NW Coast
- Gale Warning for East of Flinders Island & Upper East Coast
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Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Piersons Point (42.9937°S, 147.2392°E, 92m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase First quarter Full moon Last quarter New moon 5:26am EDT 5:59am EDT 8:47pm EDT 9:20pm EDT 9:15am EDT 10:29pm EDT
Waxing crescent
First quarter Jan 26 Full moon Feb 02 Last quarter Feb 09 New moon Feb 17 -
Temperature for next 5 days
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Rain for next 5 days