Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall

for East Coast, Midlands and parts of North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast Forecast Districts.

Issued at 7:10 pm Wednesday, 21 January 2026.

VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS with heavy, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon and early evening.

Weather Situation
The passage of a cold front combines with an upper-level trough and high atmospheric moisture to generate severe thunderstorms with heavy to locally intense rainfall over parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
South East, North East, East Coast, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next couple of hours in the Northern Midlands and the Conara Junction. Locations which may be affected include Campbell Town.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in the East Coast, Midlands and parts of the North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast districts. Locations which may be affected include Swansea, Oatlands, Bicheno, Orford, Campbell Town and Fingal.
37.2 MM OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED AT LLEWELLYN IN THE 1 HOUR AND 45 MINUTES TO 5:45 PM.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next warning is due to be issued by 10:10 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall

for East Coast, Midlands and parts of North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast Forecast Districts.

Issued at 7:10 pm Wednesday, 21 January 2026.

VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS with heavy, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon and early evening.

Weather Situation
The passage of a cold front combines with an upper-level trough and high atmospheric moisture to generate severe thunderstorms with heavy to locally intense rainfall over parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
South East, North East, East Coast, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next couple of hours in the Northern Midlands and the Conara Junction. Locations which may be affected include Campbell Town.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in the East Coast, Midlands and parts of the North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast districts. Locations which may be affected include Swansea, Oatlands, Bicheno, Orford, Campbell Town and Fingal.
37.2 MM OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED AT LLEWELLYN IN THE 1 HOUR AND 45 MINUTES TO 5:45 PM.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next warning is due to be issued by 10:10 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania

Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Wednesday 21 January 2026
for the period until midnight EDT Thursday 22 January 2026

Wind Warnings for Wednesday 21 January
Gale Warning for the following areas:
East of Flinders Island and Upper East Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Lower East Coast, South East Coast and Central West Coast

Wind Warnings for Thursday 22 January
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, Lower East Coast, South East Coast and Central West Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 10:00 pm EDT Wednesday.
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Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
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