Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy Rainfall
for parts of North East, East Coast, Central North and Midlands Forecast Districts.
Issued at 9:19 pm Wednesday, 21 January 2026.
Heavy rainfall continuing over parts of northeast Tasmania, although contracting east and easing.
Weather Situation
The passage of a cold front combines with an upper-level trough and high atmospheric moisture to generate severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall over parts of northeast Tasmania this evening.
HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
North East, East Coast, Central North and Midlands
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hour or two. Locations which may be affected include Fingal and Scamander. Thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are gradually contracting eastward and easing.
Severe thunderstorms are no longer occurring in the South East, North West Coast and Central Plateau districts and the warning for these districts is CANCELLED.
87.2 MM OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED AT LLEWELLYN IN THE 3 HOURS TO 7:14 PM.
Cancellation for the following areas:
South East,Central Plateau,North West Coast
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 12:20 am Thursday.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Penguin (41.1102°S, 146.0691°E, 2m AMSL) set as my default location ›
-
Seven day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the far W in the early morning. Near zero chance of rain elsewhere. Winds S 25 to 40 km/h tending S/SW 20 to 30 km/h before dawn. Overnight temperatures falling to between 7 and 11 with daytime temperatures reaching between 18 and 22.
Forecast for Penguin (41.1102°S, 146.0691°E, 2m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary
Minimum 9° 11° 12° 15° 13° 12° 15° Maximum 21° 19° 21° 27° 21° 23° 23° Chance of rain 20% 60% 5% 10% 5% 40% 90% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 13
(km/h)15
(km/h)19
(km/h)15
(km/h)22
(km/h)19
(km/h)7
(km/h)13
(km/h)12
(km/h)13
(km/h)14
(km/h)11
(km/h)13
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction SW WSW ESE NE E E S N E NE ESE NE SW WSW Relative humidity 50% 38% 65% 62% 77% 70% 65% 58% 71% 63% 74% 71% 66% 52% Dew point 3°C 6°C 8°C 11°C 11°C 15°C 15°C 18°C 11°C 13°C 13°C 18°C 12°C 13°C -
Warnings
-
Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Penguin (41.1102°S, 146.0691°E, 2m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase First quarter Full moon Last quarter New moon 5:38am EDT 6:09am EDT 8:46pm EDT 9:17pm EDT 9:22am EDT 10:32pm EDT
Waxing crescent
First quarter Jan 26 Full moon Feb 02 Last quarter Feb 09 New moon Feb 17 -
Temperature for next 5 days
-
Rain for next 5 days