Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for Upper Derwent Valley, South East, East Coast and parts of Western, North East and Central Plateau Forecast Districts.

Issued at 4:48 pm Wednesday, 12 November 2025.

Damaging winds developing over southern and eastern areas late this evening.

Weather Situation
Strong northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching cold front will generate damaging winds from late this evening. Winds are expected to ease in the wake of the cold front by Thursday afternoon.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, North East, East Coast and Central Plateau
For SOUTHERN AREAS: Strong to DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are possible over lower elevations including southern suburbs of HOBART from late this evening, becoming more likely from early Thursday morning. Over elevated terrain above 1000 metres, DAMAGING WINDS averaging 65 to 75 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 110 km/h are likely during Thursday morning. Winds are forecast to ease below warning thresholds by Thursday afternoon.
For NORTHEASTERN AREAS: Strong to DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are likely over elevated terrain from late this evening, before extending to coastal areas during Thursday morning. Winds are forecast to ease below warning thresholds by late Thursday afternoon.
Locations which may be affected include Kingston, Swansea, New Norfolk, Bicheno, Huonville, Geeveston, Dover and Fingal.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 11:00 pm AEDT Wednesday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds

for Upper Derwent Valley, South East, East Coast and parts of Western, North East and Central Plateau Forecast Districts.

Issued at 4:48 pm Wednesday, 12 November 2025.

Damaging winds developing over southern and eastern areas late this evening.

Weather Situation
Strong northwesterly flow ahead of an approaching cold front will generate damaging winds from late this evening. Winds are expected to ease in the wake of the cold front by Thursday afternoon.
DAMAGING WINDS for the following areas:
Western, Upper Derwent Valley, South East, North East, East Coast and Central Plateau
For SOUTHERN AREAS: Strong to DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are possible over lower elevations including southern suburbs of HOBART from late this evening, becoming more likely from early Thursday morning. Over elevated terrain above 1000 metres, DAMAGING WINDS averaging 65 to 75 km/h with peak gusts in excess of 110 km/h are likely during Thursday morning. Winds are forecast to ease below warning thresholds by Thursday afternoon.
For NORTHEASTERN AREAS: Strong to DAMAGING NORTHWESTERLY WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are likely over elevated terrain from late this evening, before extending to coastal areas during Thursday morning. Winds are forecast to ease below warning thresholds by late Thursday afternoon.
Locations which may be affected include Kingston, Swansea, New Norfolk, Bicheno, Huonville, Geeveston, Dover and Fingal.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Supervise children closely.
* Check that family and neighbours are aware of warnings.
* Manage pets and livestock.
* Secure outdoor items including furniture and play equipment.
* Be prepared in case of power outages and report any outages to TasNetworks on 132 004.
* Beware of damaged trees and power lines and take care when driving.
* Listen to the ABC radio or check www.ses.tas.gov.au for further advice.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 11:00 pm AEDT Wednesday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Bush Walkers Weather Alert

for Western and Central Plateau forecast districts

Issued at 04:33 PM EDT on Wednesday 12 November 2025

Warnings for Thursday 13 November

snow for the following areas:
Western and Central Plateau forecast districts
Bush walkers are advised that snow as low as 700 metres is expected to develop Thursday morning, then continue to lower to around 500 metres during the afternoon. The onset of the low snow and cold conditions is expected to be rapid as a cold front crosses during the morning. These hazardous conditions are expected to occur in parts of the Western and Central Plateau forecast districts.

The next warning will be issued by 11:00 pm EDT Wednesday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania

Marine Wind Warning Summary for Tasmania

Issued at 04:05 PM EDT on Wednesday 12 November 2025
for the period until midnight EDT Thursday 13 November 2025

Wind Warnings for Wednesday 12 November
Gale Warning for the following areas:
South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
South West Lakes, Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast and Lower East Coast

Wind Warnings for Thursday 13 November
Gale Warning for the following areas:
Far North West Coast, Central North Coast, Banks Strait and Franklin Sound, East of Flinders Island, Upper East Coast, South East Coast, South West Coast and Central West Coast
Strong Wind Warning for the following areas:
Derwent Estuary, Frederick Henry Bay and Norfolk Bay, Storm Bay, Channel, South West Lakes and Lower East Coast

The next marine wind warning summary will be issued by 10:00 pm EDT Wednesday.
================================================================================
Check the latest Coastal Waters Forecast or Local
Waters Forecast at http://www.bom.gov.au/tas/forecasts/map.shtml for information on wind,
wave and weather conditions for these coastal zones.
================================================================================

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Initial Minor Flood Warning For The River Derwent
Issued at 11:22 AM AEDT on Wednesday 12 November 2025
Flood Warning Number: 1

MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE AT BELOW MEADOWBANK DAM FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
Moderate rainfall has been observed since Tuesday evening which has resulted in river level rises across the catchment. Further rainfall is forecast for the remainder of Wednesday and into Thursday. This rainfall may result in minor flooding along the River Derwent at Below Meadowbank Dam from Thursday afternoon.

Styx River:
Elevated river levels are occurring along the Styx River. Further rises and flooding is possible at Bruces Bridge with forecast rainfall.
River Derwent below Meadowbank Dam:
Minor flooding may develop along the River Derwent at Below Meadowbank Dam from Thursday afternoon.
The River Derwent at Below Meadowbank Dam is currently at 2.22 m and falling, below the minor flood level.
The River Derwent at Below Meadowbank Dam may reach around the minor flood level (4.10 m) from Thursday afternoon. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.alert.tas.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 11:00 AM AEDT on Thursday 13 November 2025.

Latest River Heights:
Derwent River at Below Lake St. Clair,1.10,steady,10:45 am Wed 12/11/25
Ouse River at Ashton,0.63,steady,10:30 am Wed 12/11/25
Ouse River at Ouse (3B Weir),0.73,steady,10:45 am Wed 12/11/25
Clyde River at Bothwell,0.35,steady,11:00 am Wed 12/11/25
Derwent River below Meadowbank Dam,2.22,falling,10:45 am Wed 12/11/25
Tyenna River at Newbury,0.81,steady,11:00 am Wed 12/11/25
Styx River at Bruces Bridge,1.75,steady,11:11 am Wed 12/11/25
Derwent River at Macquarie Plains,1.06,rising,11:02 am Wed 12/11/25
Derwent River at New Norfolk Bridge,2.03,steady,11:00 am Wed 12/11/25
Derwent River at New Norfolk,0.67,rising,11:11 am Wed 12/11/25

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.