Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall
for East Coast, Midlands and parts of North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast Forecast Districts.
Issued at 6:48 pm Wednesday, 21 January 2026.
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS with heavy, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon.
Weather Situation
The passage of a cold front combines with an upper-level trough and high atmospheric moisture to generate severe thunderstorms with heavy to locally intense rainfall over parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
South East, North East, East Coast, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the East Coast, Central North, Central Plateau, Midlands and North East districts. Locations which may be affected include Campbell Town.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in the East Coast, Midlands and parts of the North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast districts. Locations which may be affected include Swansea, Oatlands, Bicheno, Orford, Campbell Town and Fingal.
37.2 MM OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED AT LLEWELLYN IN THE 1 HOUR AND 45 MINUTES TO 5:45 PM.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 9:50 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Emita (40.0005°S, 147.9119°E, 48m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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Seven day forecast
Today: Partly cloudy. Medium chance of showers, most likely in the early morning. Winds W/SW 20 to 30 km/h tending S/SW before dawn then turning E/SE 15 to 20 km/h in the evening. Overnight temperatures falling to around 11 with daytime temperatures reaching around 20.
Forecast for Emita (40.0005°S, 147.9119°E, 48m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary
Minimum 11° 11° 14° 17° 14° 14° 16° Maximum 20° 21° 25° 26° 23° 26° 24° Chance of rain 5% 30% 5% 5% 5% 30% 40% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Extreme Very High Extreme Extreme Extreme Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate High - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 26
(km/h)23
(km/h)14
(km/h)16
(km/h)27
(km/h)28
(km/h)19
(km/h)25
(km/h)22
(km/h)24
(km/h)20
(km/h)20
(km/h)18
(km/h)23
(km/h)Wind direction SW WSW ENE ENE ENE NE SSW S ESE E ENE NE SW W Relative humidity 51% 42% 53% 47% 61% 54% 65% 44% 60% 47% 67% 54% 74% 58% Dew point 6°C 6°C 8°C 8°C 12°C 14°C 16°C 12°C 12°C 10°C 15°C 15°C 16°C 14°C -
Warnings
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy, Locally Intense Rain) East Coast, Midlands & North East, Central North, C Plateau, South East & NW Coast
- Severe Thunderstorm Warning (Heavy, Locally Intense Rain) East Coast, Midlands & North East, Central North, C Plateau, South East & NW Coast
- Gale Warning for East of Flinders Island & Upper East Coast
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Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Emita (40.0005°S, 147.9119°E, 48m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase First quarter Full moon Last quarter New moon 5:33am EDT 6:04am EDT 8:35pm EDT 9:06pm EDT 9:15am EDT 10:24pm EDT
Waxing crescent
First quarter Jan 26 Full moon Feb 02 Last quarter Feb 09 New moon Feb 17 -
Temperature for next 5 days
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Rain for next 5 days