Forecast

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, Australia

Flood Watch For The Orara, Parts Of Mid North Coast, Hunter, Peel-Namoi And Gwydir Catchments
Issued at 01:58 PM AEST on Saturday 02 August 2025
Flood Watch Number: 3
MINOR TO ISOLATED MODERATE FLOODING POSSIBLE IN THE FLOOD WATCH AREA FROM SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY

Catchments likely to be affected include:
Orara River
Bellinger and Kalang Rivers
Macleay River
Hastings River
Manning and Gloucester Rivers
Myall River
Karuah River
Goulburn and Upper Hunter Rivers
Wollombi Brook and Lower Hunter River
Paterson and Williams Rivers
Newcastle Area
Gwydir River
Peel River
Namoi River

Flood Warnings are current for the following catchment(s): Peel

For the latest flood and weather warnings see http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/warnings
For the latest rainfall and river level information see http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.ses.nsw.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next Flood Watch will be issued by 02:00 PM AEST on Sunday 03 August 2025.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds And Heavy Rainfall

for Mid North Coast, Hunter and parts of Central Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Northern Tablelands, South West Slopes and Snowy Mountains Forecast Districts.

Issued at 12:22 pm Saturday, 2 August 2025.

Damaging winds have developed over Cabramurra, with damaging winds and heavy rainfall also impacting central and northern parts of eastern NSW today.

Weather Situation
A low pressure system and coastal trough currently located offshore of Coffs Harbour is forecast to deepen later this morning before tracking west over land during the late afternoon. This system will bring a strong east to southeasterly flow on its southern and southwestern flanks. A second low pressure system will then develop and rapidly deepen offshore of the NSW and Queensland border on Sunday afternoon.
DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
Mid North Coast, Hunter, Central Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Snowy Mountains and Northern Tablelands
For COASTAL AREAS: Strong easterly winds averaging 50 to 60 km/h with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS of around 90 km/h are likely to develop about the coastal fringe of the warning area in the next hour or two. Winds are forecast to ease below warning thresholds by late tonight.
For INLAND AREAS: Southeasterly DAMAGING WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are possible over elevated areas from late this afternoon, continuing overnight, before easing early Sunday morning.
HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is also forecast about coastal and inland parts of the Hunter, Mid North Coast and Northern Tablelands from this afternoon. Six-hourly rainfall totals between 60 and 90 mm are likely, with isolated totals up to 100 mm possible about elevated areas. 24-hourly rainfall totals between 75 and 90 mm are likely, with isolated totals up to 120 mm possible about elevated areas. Rainfall is likely to ease below warning thresholds by early Sunday morning.
For the SNOWY MOUNTAINS: Southeasterly DAMAGING WINDS averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of around 100 km/h are possible over alpine areas above 1400 metres this afternoon, easing by the evening.
On Sunday afternoon DAMAGING WINDS may redevelop over coastal parts of the Mid North Coast, and possibly further north, as the second low pressure system moves closer to the northern NSW coastline.
Flood Watches and various Flood Warnings are current for eastern catchments and a Coastal Hazard Warning is also current. Please refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
Locations which may be affected include Coffs Harbour, Taree, Newcastle, Port Macquarie, Scone, Kempsey, Maitland, Sawtell, Dorrigo and Cabramurra.
Sustained 68 km/h winds were recorded at Cabramurra around 12:00 pm, with a 93 km/h wind gust at 12:02 pm.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Don't drive, ride or walk through flood water.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* If you are trapped by flash flooding, seek refuge in the highest available place and ring 000 if you need rescue.
* Be aware that run-off from rainfall in fire affected areas may behave differently and be more rapid. It may also contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks.
* After bushfires, heavy rain and the loss of foliage can make the ground soft and heavy, leading to a greater chance of landslides.
* Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
* Trees that have been damaged by fire are likely to be more unstable and more likely to fall.
* Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid (131 388), Endeavour Energy (131 003), Essential Energy (132 080) or Evoenergy (131 093) as shown on your power bill.
* Stay vigilant and monitor conditions. Note that the landscape may have changed following bushfires.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring your local SES Unit on 132 500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Saturday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for Damaging Winds And Heavy Rainfall

for Mid North Coast, Hunter and parts of Central Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Northern Tablelands, South West Slopes and Snowy Mountains Forecast Districts.

Issued at 12:22 pm Saturday, 2 August 2025.

Damaging winds have developed over Cabramurra, with damaging winds and heavy rainfall also impacting central and northern parts of eastern NSW today.

Weather Situation
A low pressure system and coastal trough currently located offshore of Coffs Harbour is forecast to deepen later this morning before tracking west over land during the late afternoon. This system will bring a strong east to southeasterly flow on its southern and southwestern flanks. A second low pressure system will then develop and rapidly deepen offshore of the NSW and Queensland border on Sunday afternoon.
DAMAGING WINDS and HEAVY RAINFALL for the following areas:
Mid North Coast, Hunter, Central Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Snowy Mountains and Northern Tablelands
For COASTAL AREAS: Strong easterly winds averaging 50 to 60 km/h with DAMAGING WIND GUSTS of around 90 km/h are likely to develop about the coastal fringe of the warning area in the next hour or two. Winds are forecast to ease below warning thresholds by late tonight.
For INLAND AREAS: Southeasterly DAMAGING WINDS averaging 55 to 65 km/h with peak gusts of around 90 km/h are possible over elevated areas from late this afternoon, continuing overnight, before easing early Sunday morning.
HEAVY RAINFALL which may lead to FLASH FLOODING is also forecast about coastal and inland parts of the Hunter, Mid North Coast and Northern Tablelands from this afternoon. Six-hourly rainfall totals between 60 and 90 mm are likely, with isolated totals up to 100 mm possible about elevated areas. 24-hourly rainfall totals between 75 and 90 mm are likely, with isolated totals up to 120 mm possible about elevated areas. Rainfall is likely to ease below warning thresholds by early Sunday morning.
For the SNOWY MOUNTAINS: Southeasterly DAMAGING WINDS averaging 60 to 70 km/h with peak gusts of around 100 km/h are possible over alpine areas above 1400 metres this afternoon, easing by the evening.
On Sunday afternoon DAMAGING WINDS may redevelop over coastal parts of the Mid North Coast, and possibly further north, as the second low pressure system moves closer to the northern NSW coastline.
Flood Watches and various Flood Warnings are current for eastern catchments and a Coastal Hazard Warning is also current. Please refer to http://www.bom.gov.au/nsw/warnings/
Locations which may be affected include Coffs Harbour, Taree, Newcastle, Port Macquarie, Scone, Kempsey, Maitland, Sawtell, Dorrigo and Cabramurra.
Sustained 68 km/h winds were recorded at Cabramurra around 12:00 pm, with a 93 km/h wind gust at 12:02 pm.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Don't drive, ride or walk through flood water.
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* If you are trapped by flash flooding, seek refuge in the highest available place and ring 000 if you need rescue.
* Be aware that run-off from rainfall in fire affected areas may behave differently and be more rapid. It may also contain debris such as ash, soil, trees and rocks.
* After bushfires, heavy rain and the loss of foliage can make the ground soft and heavy, leading to a greater chance of landslides.
* Move vehicles under cover or away from trees.
* Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
* Keep at least 8 metres away from fallen power lines or objects that may be energised, such as fences.
* Trees that have been damaged by fire are likely to be more unstable and more likely to fall.
* Report fallen power lines to either Ausgrid (131 388), Endeavour Energy (131 003), Essential Energy (132 080) or Evoenergy (131 093) as shown on your power bill.
* Stay vigilant and monitor conditions. Note that the landscape may have changed following bushfires.
* For emergency help in floods and storms, ring your local SES Unit on 132 500.

The next Severe Weather Warning will be issued by 5:00 pm AEST Saturday.
Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts, the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales

Warning to Sheep Graziers

for Mid North Coast, Hunter, Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, North West Slopes & Plains and Snowy Mountains forecast districts

Issued at 10:44 AM EST on Saturday 02 August 2025

Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Mid North Coast, Hunter, Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, North West Slopes & Plains and Snowy Mountains forecast districts
Sheep graziers are warned that cold temperatures, heavy rain and showers and southeasterly winds are expected during Saturday and Sunday. Areas likely to be affected include the Mid North Coast and Hunter forecast districts and parts of the Northern Tablelands, Illawarra, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, North West Slopes & Plains and Snowy Mountains forecast districts. There is a risk of losses of lambs and sheep exposed to these conditions.
Cancellation of Warning to Sheep Graziers for the following areas:
Australian Capital Territory forecast district
The Warning to Sheep Graziers for the Australian Capital Territory forecast district has been cancelled.

The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Saturday.

Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology, National Water Operations

Moderate Flood Warning For The Peel And Namoi Rivers
Issued at 09:41 AM AEST on Saturday 02 August 2025
Flood Warning Number: 4

MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING POSSIBLE SATURDAY EVENING AT TAMWORTH
A below minor peak was observed on Thursday evening at Tamworth. Further moderate to heavy rain is forecast during Saturday and into Sunday with renewed river level rises likely above the minor flood level. River rises to moderate flood level is possible overnight Saturday into Sunday with forecast rainfall.
Further flood warnings will be issued as rainfall forecasts and observations are updated.
A Flood Watch remains current for NSW, including the Peel and Namoi Rivers.

Peel River:
Minor to Moderate flooding is possible along the Peel River at Tamworth.
The Peel River at Tamworth is currently at 1.90 m and steady, below the minor flood level.
The Peel River at Tamworth may exceed the minor flood level (3.00 m) Saturday evening. The river may reach around the moderate flood level (4.20 m) overnight Saturday into Sunday. Further rises are possible with forecast rain.

Flood Safety Advice:
Don't drive, walk, swim or play in floodwater because it is dangerous.
Stay away from flooded drains, rivers, streams and waterways.
Obey road closure signs. Plan ahead so you don't drive on flooded roads.
Check the ABC and local media for updates. The situation can change quickly, so stay informed.
For local emergency management warnings and advice visit www.ses.nsw.gov.au.}
For emergency assistance call SES on telephone number 132 500. In life-threatening emergencies, call 000 (triple zero) immediately.

Next issue:
The next warning will be issued by 04:00 PM AEST on Saturday 02 August 2025.

Latest River Heights:
Peel River at Piallamore,2.30,steady,9:15 am Sat 02/08/25
Cockburn River at Mulla Crossing,1.27,steady,9:00 am Sat 02/08/25
Goonoo Goonoo Creek at Goonoo Goonoo,1.65,steady,8:48 am Sat 02/08/25
Peel River at Tamworth,1.90,steady,9:15 am Sat 02/08/25
Peel River at Carroll Gap,2.47,rising,9:30 am Sat 02/08/25
Namoi River at Manilla,2.42,rising,9:30 am Sat 02/08/25
Mooki River at Breeza Station,1.88,steady,9:15 am Sat 02/08/25
Coxs Creek at Boggabri,1.12,steady,9:15 am Sat 02/08/25
Namoi River at Gunnedah,4.37,steady,9:15 am Sat 02/08/25
Namoi River at Boggabri,5.51,steady,9:30 am Sat 02/08/25
Narrabri Creek at Narrabri,2.69,rising,9:30 am Sat 02/08/25
Namoi River at Glencoe Wee Waa,2.79,steady,9:15 am Sat 02/08/25
Namoi River at Bugilbone,3.81,steady,9:15 am Sat 02/08/25
Namoi River at Goangra,4.55,steady,9:30 am Sat 02/08/25

This advice is also available by dialling 1300 659 219. Warning, rainfall and river information are available at http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/flood.