Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
New South Wales
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall
for South West Slopes and parts of Hunter, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Central West Slopes and Plains, Upper Western, Snowy Mountains, Australian Capital Territory and Riverina Forecast Districts.
Issued at 7:57 pm Saturday, 21 March 2026.
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL OVER PARTS OF THE CENTRAL WEST SLOPES AND PLAINS AND CENTRAL TABLELANDS INCLUDING PARKES. Other severe thunderstorm complexes with heavy rainfall continuing this evening.
Weather Situation
An upper-level trough is aligning with a surface trough over the southern half of the state this evening to produce slow moving severe thunderstorms in a humid environment.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
Hunter, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Central West Slopes and Plains, South West Slopes, Riverina, Upper Western, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next several hours in parts of the Central Tablelands and Central West Slopes and Plains districts. Locations which may be affected include Dubbo, Mudgee, Parkes, Wellington, Gulgong and Hill End.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in the South West Slopes and parts of the Hunter, Central Tablelands, Southern Tablelands, North West Slopes and Plains, Central West Slopes and Plains, Upper Western, Snowy Mountains, Australian Capital Territory and Riverina districts. Locations which may be affected include Orange, Dubbo, Bourke, Mudgee, Parkes and Coonabarabran.
49.0 MM WAS RECORDED AT BORENORE CREEK (NORTH OF ORANGE) IN THE 30 MINUTES TO 6:34 PM.
5 CM HAIL WAS RECORDED AT PENRITH AT 4:00 PM.
91 km/h was recorded at Western Sydney Airport at 3:42 pm.
32.5 MM WAS RECORDED AT GOULBURN IN THE 30 MINUTES TO 2:57 PM.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Keep clear of creeks and storm drains.
* Don't walk, ride your bike or drive through flood water.
* If you are trapped by flash flooding, seek refuge in the highest available place and ring 000 if you need rescue.
* Stay indoors away from windows, and keep children and pets indoors as well.
For emergency help in flood and storms, ring the SES on 132 500.
Stay updated on the Hazards Near Me NSW app or the ACT ESA website (https://esa.act.gov.au).
The next warning is due to be issued by 11:00 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Dubbo (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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Seven day forecast
Today: Sunny morning. The chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Winds E/SE 15 to 25 km/h tending E/NE in the morning then tending E/SE in the early afternoon. Overnight temperatures falling to between 16 and 19 with daytime temperatures reaching 29 to 34.
Forecast for Dubbo (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Summary
Minimum 17° 16° 16° 15° 16° 11° 9° Maximum 31° 31° 31° 32° 32° 21° 24° Chance of rain 5% 5% 10% 10% 70% 40% 5% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm < 1mm UV index Very High Very High Very High Very High Very High High High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 21
(km/h)15
(km/h)20
(km/h)17
(km/h)20
(km/h)17
(km/h)16
(km/h)16
(km/h)9
(km/h)22
(km/h)25
(km/h)28
(km/h)18
(km/h)20
(km/h)Wind direction E ESE ESE SE ESE SE ESE SW NE W WSW SW S S Relative humidity 75% 37% 76% 36% 74% 33% 73% 33% 66% 33% 60% 36% 57% 31% Dew point 17°C 14°C 17°C 13°C 16°C 12°C 15°C 13°C 15°C 13°C 6°C 4°C 6°C 5°C -
Warnings
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Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Dubbo (32.2452°S, 148.6042°E, 257m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase First quarter Full moon Last quarter New moon 6:45am EDT 7:10am EDT 7:15pm EDT 7:40pm EDT 10:24am EDT 8:59pm EDT
Waxing crescent
First quarter Mar 26 Full moon Apr 02 Last quarter Apr 10 New moon Apr 17 -
Temperature for next 5 days
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Rain for next 5 days