Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Tasmania
TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for Heavy, Locally Intense Rainfall
for East Coast, Midlands and parts of North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast Forecast Districts.
Issued at 7:10 pm Wednesday, 21 January 2026.
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS with heavy, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon and early evening.
Weather Situation
The passage of a cold front combines with an upper-level trough and high atmospheric moisture to generate severe thunderstorms with heavy to locally intense rainfall over parts of northeast Tasmania this afternoon.
HEAVY, LOCALLY INTENSE RAINFALL for the following areas:
South East, North East, East Coast, North West Coast, Central North, Central Plateau and Midlands
VERY DANGEROUS THUNDERSTORMS are likely to produce heavy, locally intense rainfall that may lead to dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding over the next couple of hours in the Northern Midlands and the Conara Junction. Locations which may be affected include Campbell Town.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding over the next several hours in the East Coast, Midlands and parts of the North East, Central North, Central Plateau, South East and North West Coast districts. Locations which may be affected include Swansea, Oatlands, Bicheno, Orford, Campbell Town and Fingal.
37.2 MM OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED AT LLEWELLYN IN THE 1 HOUR AND 45 MINUTES TO 5:45 PM.
The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
* Avoid driving, walking or riding through flood waters.
* Seek shelter, preferably indoors and never under trees.
* Avoid using the telephone during a thunderstorm.
* Beware of fallen trees and powerlines.
* For emergency assistance contact the SES on 132500.
The next warning is due to be issued by 10:10 pm.
Check https://www.bom.gov.au/weather-and-climate/warnings-and-alerts. Warnings are also available through TV and Radio broadcasts or call 1300 659 210. The Bureau and State Emergency Service would appreciate warnings being broadcast regularly.
Forecast
Tarraleah (42.3009°S, 146.4502°E, 484m AMSL) set as my default location ›
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Seven day forecast
Today: Cloudy. Slight chance of a shower in the morning and early afternoon. Snow possible above 1300 metres. Winds S/SW 25 to 35 km/h decreasing to 15 to 25 km/h in the early afternoon then becoming light in the late evening. Overnight temperatures falling to between 1 and 6 with daytime temperatures reaching between 11 and 16.
Forecast for Tarraleah (42.3009°S, 146.4502°E, 484m AMSL) Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Summary
Minimum 4° 2° 6° 10° 6° 11° 11° Maximum 15° 22° 27° 24° 27° 28° 20° Chance of rain 40% 5% 10% 5% 30% 50% 50% Likely amount < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm < 1mm 1-5mm < 1mm UV index Very High Extreme Very High Very High Extreme Extreme Very High Fire Danger Rating Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate - - - Frost risk Slight Moderate Nil Nil Nil Nil Nil 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm 9am 3pm Wind speed 14
(km/h)17
(km/h)3
(km/h)6
(km/h)9
(km/h)17
(km/h)7
(km/h)10
(km/h)3
(km/h)9
(km/h)6
(km/h)12
(km/h)9
(km/h)15
(km/h)Wind direction SW SW NE WSW NNE NNW SW SSW E SSW NNW WNW W W Relative humidity 71% 44% 62% 37% 53% 27% 65% 35% 66% 33% 45% 38% 70% 47% Dew point 3°C 3°C 4°C 6°C 6°C 6°C 9°C 8°C 8°C 9°C 9°C 13°C 9°C 8°C -
Warnings
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Sunrise and sunset times
Sunrise / Sunset for Tarraleah (42.3009°S, 146.4502°E, 484m AMSL) First light Sunrise Sunset Last light Moon rise Moon set Moon phase First quarter Full moon Last quarter New moon 5:31am EDT 6:04am EDT 8:47pm EDT 9:20pm EDT 9:19am EDT 10:31pm EDT
Waxing crescent
First quarter Jan 26 Full moon Feb 02 Last quarter Feb 09 New moon Feb 17 -
Temperature for next 5 days
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Rain for next 5 days